5 Most Electable 5/07
These conclusions were drawn after studying various current polls and political opinions. Circumstances are subject to change due to future events.
- Barack Obama – Centrist position on unity in American politics draws support across party lines, as does anti-war POV. Resonates well with independents and has influential backers. His biggest challenge will be to get the Democratic nomination. If he does, poll numbers show him defeating any Republican nominee.
- Hillary Clinton – Easily tops other Democratic nominees in terms of party and financial support. Not so popular to the general electorate, though. Is seen as somewhat right-of-center and shows preference for Executive power. Has the best chance of securing the Democratic nomination, but the numbers show she could be vulnerable against Giuliani.
- Rudolph Giuliani – Current polls leader among Republicans, he is their best chance to retain the White House. While his stance on issues such as abortion and civil rights will hinder his nomination, they show him to be more than a puppet of GOP control. Hurting him in the general election will be his pro-war viewpoint.
- John Edwards – Progressive candidate has the most complete agenda of anybody in this race with a realistic view of winning. Polls show that if nominated he would mop the floor with any Republican contender. To get the Democratic nomination, though, this anti-war candidate would have to overcome both Clinton and Obama, and convince the electorate that he is not a radical leftist.
- John McCain – True successor to the Bush administration, were he elected policies in this country would not change very much. He has a chance to win the nomination in the ultra-conservative GOP, but because of his warhawk status, would probably be beaten by any of the Democratic frontrunners.
Conclusions – The Democrats will probably win this election no matter who is nominated, unless it comes down to Clinton v Giuliani. If that is the case, it will be a very close election.
The best thing the GOP can do for themselves is to nominate Rudy, but if the most important thing to them remains wedge issues, they will go with a likely loser rather than change philosophy.
Manfred’s Best Bet: Hillary Clinton
Manfred’s Best Recommendation: John Edwards
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